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  Volume 
          2: 
          No. 1, January 2005 
SPECIAL TOPICS IN PUBLIC HEALTHChildhood Obesity — What We Can Learn 
    From Existing Data on 
  Societal Trends, Part 1
Roland Sturm, PhD
Suggested citation for this article: Sturm R. Childhood obesity — what we can 
  learn from existing data on societal trends, part 1. Prev Chronic 
  Dis [serial online] 2005 Jan [date cited]. Available from: URL:
http://www.cdc.gov/pcd/issues/2005/jan/04_0038.htm.
 PEER REVIEWED Part 1 of 2  AbstractThe number of overweight and obese youth has increased in recent decades, 
  and numerous theories on causes have been proposed. Yet almost no data are 
  available to assess how the lives of children have changed during the “obesity 
  epidemic.” What are children and adolescents now doing with their time that 
  they did not do before? Are they participating less in sports? Watching more 
  television? Doing more homework? Without tracking these broader societal 
  changes, it is difficult to identify the most (and least) promising areas for 
  interventions. This two-part report compiles trend data for several areas. 
  Part 1 discusses trends in time use, homework, and media use; part 2 discusses 
  trends in transportation, physical education, and diet. The main findings of this article are the following: One, the free time of 
  children has substantially declined because of increased time away from home, 
  primarily in school, day care, and after-school programs. Two, participation 
  in organized activities (including sports) has also increased. Three, 
  unstructured playtime has decreased to make room for organized activities. 
  Four, time spent in some sedentary activities like watching television, 
  participating in conversations, or taking part in other passive leisure 
  activities also 
  declined just when obesity became a major concern. Five, increases in homework 
  have not caused decreases in free time, contradicting a common belief in 
  education circles. Back to top IntroductionThe number of overweight and obese youth has been increasing dramatically 
  in recent decades, and there is no sign that this trend is ending (1). 
  Prevention may be one of the hallmarks of pediatric practice, but office-based 
  counseling offers limited leverage to counter broader changes that affect the 
  daily lives of children. Even though prevention and treatment in clinical 
  settings have been the focus for interventions in the past, researchers now 
  agree that trends in overweight arise from changes in social and environmental 
  factors that need to be understood and modified for effective prevention 
  (2,3). Many factors have been suggested as causes of the “obesity epidemic” 
  among children — reduced physical education at school, increased homework 
  loads, campus vending machines, television, larger portion sizes, fast-food 
  restaurants, video games, and countless others. Yet virtually no data track 
  how the lives of children have changed during the obesity epidemic; in fact, 
  except for the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), no 
  reliable data exist to track weight increase among children (1). This two-part report reviews data sources available for time trends, 
  summarizes trend data that have been published (typically outside the health 
  literature), and provides several new calculations. Finding comparable data 
  across several years is difficult; finding such data across several decades is 
  even more difficult. With purely cross-sectional data, we can only compare 
  instantaneous snapshots against an ideal world, but what we really want to 
  know is: What has changed since the time when childhood obesity was not a major 
  public health problem? What are children and adolescents now doing with their 
  time that they did not do before? How are they less physically active? Are 
  they participating less in sports? Without tracking these broader societal 
  changes, we will not easily identify the most promising areas for 
  intervention. When considering an array of information, it is often useful to start 
  with a systematic review of the primary research literature. Systematic 
  reviews are most useful when multiple studies pose similar research questions. 
  Guidelines on clinical practice are often based on systematic reviews because 
  many studies have identical research questions. An 
  Institute of Medicine committee focused on preventing childhood obesity has 
  taken the systematic review approach (4) and found more than 40,000 citations 
  after searching the topics of 
  obesity, overweight, body weight, dietary patterns, and physical activity. 
  Unfortunately, this approach has not been very successful in identifying 
  information about societal trends. Much of the primary research on societal 
  trends does not focus on health, weight, or physical activity and  contains no related key words in the abstracts. A 
  seminal paper on changes in children’s time use, for example, contains none of 
  the words or word fragments “obesity,” “overweight,” “body weight,” “diet,” or 
  “physical activity” anywhere in the text (5). The approach taken here is, therefore, more eclectic by necessity. The 
  research literature on childhood obesity has several themes, including 
  transportation, media use, physical education, school hours, and diet. For 
  this report, all data sets on children at the Inter-university Consortium for 
  Political and Social Research — an organization of member institutions that 
  archives social science data — were scanned for articles providing time-series 
  data. Most sources were found, however, by the less systematic approach of 
  identifying the main data sets and surveys used in the fields mentioned above 
  and then determining whether those data could provide information on secular 
  trends. Analysis of time-use data is a first step toward understanding how economic 
  incentives have altered behavior patterns that lead to weight gain. Indeed, 
  time-use data for adults are so important in tracking societal trends that in 
  2003 the 
  Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Census Bureau  started to collect 
  time-use data. Ideally, we would like to translate time use into energy 
  expenditure and examine how this relationship contributes to weight gain, but 
  the data are not detailed enough for this task. The next section of this study 
  discusses existing time-use data. When we try to understand the economic and technological forces behind 
  changes in time use, few technological innovations have been more important in 
  the lives of children and adolescents than the emergence and evolution of new 
  communication technologies. Technologies like cable television, videos, 
  computer games, and the World Wide Web have altered how children obtain 
  information and entertainment, but how do they affect children’s physical activity 
  patterns or use of time? A later section of this article 
  (Media) discusses available data, but unfortunately we can only calculate 
  trend data for television watching. Only a single cross-sectional national 
  survey (for 1999) provides a full assessment of all media use. In education circles, the hypothesis that homework, or, more generally, the 
  academic excellence movement, plays an important role in weight gain (and/or 
  declining physical fitness) among children appears to be widely accepted, even 
  outside the United States.  In surveys conducted by the Chinese University of Hong 
  Kong, the National University of Malaysia, Thailand’s Mahidol University, and 
  the Philippine Food and Nutrition Research Centre, by far the most common 
  reason students gave for not participating more in physical activity was 
  homework, cited 1.5 times more often than the runner-up, 
  heat/weather (6). The final section of this article reviews data sources to 
  investigate the hypothesis that an increase in homework has contributed to weight gain and/or 
  lack of physical activity. The second part of this report in Volume 2, Issue 2 of Preventing 
  Chronic Disease will look at data for three other areas: transportation, 
  physical education, and diet. Back to top Time UseWe first review existing data on how American children spend their time. 
  There are several ways of assessing time use, but numerous methodological 
  studies show that the best way to collect large-scale time-use data is to use 
  time-diary data, where individuals describe what they have done during the 
  past day (7). Relatively comparable time-use data for adults have been 
  collected approximately every decade since the 1960s, enabling researchers to 
  paint a broad picture of how adult lives and physical activity have changed in 
  the past 40 years (8,9). 
  Time-use data for children are sparse, but researchers from the University of 
  Michigan fielded two surveys in 1981 and 1997 (5,10). Data presented in this 
  article are based on calculations made from data provided in detailed tables 
  published in 2001 (5). Both University of Michigan surveys used 24-hour time diaries with similar 
  methodology. The 1981 data are based on time diaries of 222 children aged two 
  to 12 years. Each child provided data for one school day and one nonschool 
  day. The data are nationally representative (weighted for sampling probability 
  and post-stratification factor) and have been used in a variety of other 
  reports, primarily in education. The 1997 survey was an addition to the Panel 
  Study of Income Dynamics, a representative sample of U.S. men, women, 
  children, and their families. The study consisted of interviews of 2380 
  households containing 3563 youth and had a response rate of 88%. 
  Post-stratification weights based on the 1997 Current Population Survey are 
  used to make the data nationally representative, and sampling weights adjust 
  for survey design. Subsetting to children aged three to 12 years with complete 
  data resulted in 2119 observations. Free/discretionary time has declinedThe free time of children as a proportion of the total weekly time of 168 
  hours declined by approximately 12% from 1981 to 1997, if time spent eating, 
  sleeping, in personal care (e.g., preparing to go places, packing, getting 
  dressed), in school, and in child care is subtracted from the total. The 
  decline in free time — between seven and eight hours per week, depending on 
  how we treat study time or household work — is largely due to increased time 
  spent in school and child care and to a lesser extent to increased 
  personal-care time. Figure 1 shows that this decline occurred across all age 
  groups; data are significant at P < .01. 
 Figure 1.
  Decline in discretionary time (in minutes per week) between 1981 and 1997 
  among U.S. children aged three to 12 years. Calculations based on data from Hofferth and Sandberg (5).
  (A text description of this chart is also 
  available.) Time spent in school increased about two hours per week, or 25 minutes per 
  school day, from 24 hours and 45 minutes to 26 hours and 48 minutes in an 
  average week. Day-care time increased from about 14 minutes 
  to almost three hours per week because both a larger share of children used 
  day care and children in day care spent more time in it. In Figure 2, we add 
  other academic activities that time-use researchers often consider 
  discretionary but that have similar purposes (and physical activity levels): 
  primarily reading and studying at home. Personal-care time also increased over 
  the same period, from more than six hours per week to eight hours per week. 
  Time-use researchers have hypothesized that as children spend more time away 
  from home, they need more time to get ready to do so (5). Smaller changes occurred in time spent eating, which decreased, and 
  sleeping/napping, which increased by the same amount (not shown). The decline 
  in eating time parallels a decline in the frequency with which families sit 
  down together to share a family meal (11). More important changes occurred in 
  the composition of children’s free time. While time spent in some categories 
  decreased by more than the average 12%, time spent in other categories 
  increased. Time spent viewing television as a primary activity declined by the 
  greatest percentage — by 23%, or about four hours per week (Figure 2, P 
  < .001). This decline did not take place because of a decrease in the 
  proportion who watched television (because almost all children watched 
  television during both 1981 and 1997); instead, the decline took place because 
  of a reduction of television time among watchers. Several other sedentary activities declined significantly and 
  proportionately more than discretionary time overall: church attendance, 
  youth-group participation, passive leisure, and other household conversations. 
  In Figure 2, this group of activities represents the second largest group of 
  declines. But two sedentary activities at home, reading and studying (grouped 
  with school/day care in Figure 2), also increased. Time spent in hobbies, organized sports, and arts activities increased, 
  reflecting an overall trend toward structured activities and a decline in 
  unstructured activities. Figure 2 groups only the more active categories 
  together (sports/outdoors), and they show a substantial increase. Sports 
  increased significantly for children younger than nine years; other categories did not change significantly. Hobbies/arts, which 
  include dance and music lessons (not shown here), are more active than 
  watching television or other passive leisure and are perhaps more comparable 
  to playtime. 
 Figure 2.
  Changes in time (in minutes per week) spent on activities between 1981 to 
  1997 by U.S. children aged three to 12 
  years. Calculations  based on data from Hofferth and Sandberg 
  (5).
  (A text description of this chart is also 
  available.) Hofferth and Sandberg analyzed the role of shifting demographics and 
  maternal employment and found that few of the changes in time use could be 
  linked to either factor (5). While some time use differed according to 
  maternal education, family size, and family composition in 1981, different 
  socioeconomic groups tended to become more similar rather than more different 
  in time use. 
  Thus, the increase in time spent in school (which includes after-school care) 
  reflects changing social preferences for greater use of schools and school 
  activities. Age differencesSome notable differences in time use across different age groups suggest 
  different levers for interventions by age group. For children aged three to 
  five years (Figure 3) and children aged six to eight (Figure 4), the largest 
  decline in time use is in playtime; for children aged nine to 12 years, the 
  largest decline is in television watching (Figure 5). While playtime declined 
  overall, it actually increased among children aged nine to 12. This increase 
  may reflect more video- and computer-game use among this age group. The 
  largest decline for children aged nine to 12 was in television watching, but 
  household conversations and other passive leisure also declined more in this 
  group than in other age groups. However, these declines may be countered by 
  increases in sedentary playtime; time spent in this category grew by 1.5 hours per week in this age group (Figure 
  5). The declines and increases may represent trade-offs between different 
  forms of media use, but time diaries do not reveal this level of detail. 
 Figure 3.
  Changes in time (in minutes per week) spent on activities between 1981 and 1997 by 
  U.S. children aged three to 
  five years. Calculations  based on data from Hofferth and 
  Sandberg (5).
  (A text description of this chart is also 
  available.) While the dominant change is in the increase of time spent in school or day 
  care away from home, time spent studying at home increased significantly among 
  children aged six to eight, and time spent reading increased significantly 
  among children aged three to five. The 
  proportion of children aged three to five who spent time reading or being read 
  to doubled between 1981 and 1997. Increased reading among this age group 
  probably reflects increasing parental concern about preparing children for 
  school. Increased enrollment in day-care centers and preschools may also be 
  associated with children reading at early ages. We will examine homework loads 
  more closely in a later section to investigate claims in the popular press and 
  the education field that the homework burden has increased by so much that it 
  now constitutes an enormous time burden on students and families, preventing 
  them from engaging in other activities. The time-use data from the Michigan 
  group is often used as a key piece in this argument, so it is worth keeping 
  the magnitudes in mind: 76 minutes of the 485 additional minutes per week 
  spent in school or other learning activities among children aged six to eight 
  (Figure 4) were designated toward homework. Among children aged nine to 12, 
  however, the increase in homework was not statistically significant, and the 
  point estimate was an increase of 19 minutes for studying at home out of the 
  369 additional minutes per week in learning activities (Figure 5). Figure 4 shows that sports/outdoor time did not increase significantly 
  among children aged six to eight, representing a different pattern than other 
  age groups. The major reason for the significant increase among children aged 
  three to five was the increased proportion engaging in sports, which almost 
  doubled over the period. 
 Figure 4.
  Changes in time (in minutes per week) spent between 1981 and 1997 on activities by 
  U.S. children aged six to 
  eight years. Calculations  based on data from Hofferth and 
  Sandberg (5).
  (A text description of this chart is also 
  available.) 
 Figure 5.
  Changes in time (in minutes per week) spent between 1981 to 1997 on activities by 
  U.S. children aged nine to 12 
  years. Calculations based on data from Hofferth and 
  Sandberg (5).
  (A text description of this chart is also 
  available.) In summary, the largest change in children’s time use in the past two 
  decades was a decline in discretionary/free time, paralleled by an increase in 
  school or day care and personal care. Particularly noteworthy are significant 
  declines in many categories of passive leisure (television, conversations, 
  other passive leisure) and increases (statistically insignificant) in 
  sports/outdoor time. Increases in sports participation were largest among 
  children of non-working mothers; thus, these increases did not result from 
  increases in maternal employment (5,10). Children with less time to play 
  mostly reflect decreased time spent at home. Children may be playing in their 
  preschool programs, and they may have some free time at school, so the level 
  of aggregation presented here provides only a partial picture of children’s 
  time and activity levels. Sports/outdoor time outside school is increasing, 
  mainly among preschool children, but the increase in sports is significant for 
  both the three-to-five and nine-to-12 age groups. Given the large increase in 
  time children spend in school or day care, it is also important that children 
  have enough physical activity in those settings. Moreover, the amount of time 
  children participate in more physically challenging activities in school or 
  day-care settings should have increased over time, corresponding to the total 
  increase that children are now away from home. To what extent this has 
  or has not occurred requires different data. Back to top MediaThe first complete national data on media use among American youth were 
  collected in 1999 by the Kaiser Family Foundation project, Kids & Media @ The New 
  Millennium (12). Other surveys have examined children’s use of selected media 
  (most commonly television watching), but no data allow us to track media use 
  comprehensively over time. Despite interest in new media (e.g., computers, video games), television 
  remains by far the dominant medium (Table). The impact of computers and video 
  games on sedentary behavior is probably not very large, especially when 
  compared with television, as they together comprise only about 10% of the 
  average daily media budget of children aged two to 18. There are, however, 
  large differences by age and sex. Children younger than eight years spent a 
  negligible amount of time on video games or computers in 1998, but boys aged 
  eight to 13 averaged 47 minutes per day playing video games (13). On the other 
  hand, children aged eight to 12 also experienced the largest decline 
  (approximately 50 minutes per day) in television watching between 1981 and 
  1997. No comparable surveys track the latest changes for all children, although 
  it is likely that computer use has increased since the Kaiser Family 
  Foundation survey. Video gaming may or may not have peaked already by 1999. A 
  new survey fielded in 2003 for children younger than seven years found that 
  one in five children aged four to six plays computer games in a typical day 
  (14). A new trend certainly is that some computers and video games target 
  preschoolers. Television has been around for a much longer time and because of its 
  continuing dominance, it has received more attention. Television may 
  contribute directly to obesity by reducing energy expenditure through 
  displacing physical activity or indirectly by increasing dietary intake — 
  through snacking during viewing or changing eating patterns caused by food 
  advertising. Numerous cross-sectional studies found significant positive 
  associations between television viewing and youth obesity; prospective studies 
  include some null findings, but a randomized trial confirmed that a reduction 
  in television watching can reduce weight gain (15-17). Assessing time trends, even for television, is difficult because small 
  differences in methods across different surveys create methods effects that 
  far exceed real underlying changes. Nevertheless, we can compile some 
  consistent time trends. The time-diary data suggest that children under 12 are 
  now watching less television than they did in the past, a decline of about 
  23%, or about six hours per week between 1981 and 1997 (Figure 2). The Monitoring the Future survey confirms that this trend also holds for 
  adolescents (Figure 6): there has been a substantial decline in heavy television watching 
  and an increase in the proportion of adolescents watching one hour or less 
  daily (18). Monitoring the Future is a large and nationally representative study; 
  the documented decline is therefore very likely to represent a true effect. 
  There are no conclusive data on whether the large decline in television 
  viewing is more than offset or only partially offset by new-media use (e.g., 
  video games, computer). 
 Figure 6.
Percentage of teenagers who spend one hour or less, two to three hours, or 
four hours or more watching television on average weekday, 1991–2001. Analysis 
based on annual data from Monitoring the Future (18).
  Reprinted with permission from Child Trends. (A text description of this chart is also 
  available.) Back to top Studying at HomeMany news reports and academic and popular books claim that homework 
  overburdens children and limits learning with lack of physical activity and 
  weight gain as major secondary consequences (19). Although most of the 
  evidence for this idea is anecdotal, we noted above that time spent on home 
  study by children aged six to eight did increase between 1981 and 1997. This 
  fact has been cited in a number of news reports and in the  book The End of Homework, which is subtitled, How Homework Disrupts 
  Families, Overburdens Children, and Limits Learning (19). Gill and Schlossman used several national surveys to provide a 50-year 
  perspective on time spent on homework; a summary of their main findings 
  follows (20). The most systematic evidence on homework time at multiple grade levels 
  across the country is found in answers to background questions asked of 
  students taking the National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP). The 
  data are nationally representative and based on large samples. Most variables 
  show little change. Variables that do change, however, tend to show increases 
  in the 1970s and early 1980s and declines in the 1990s (20). Figure 7 shows the 
  trends: increases in the early 1980s were followed by a decline in the 1990s, 
  resulting in figures for 1999 that are similar to those for 1980. Overall, 
  increased time spent studying at home does not appear to be related to the obesity 
  epidemic among youth. 
 Figure 7.
Proportion of U.S. students doing one hour or more of homework. Data available for every other year starting  1978–1996 
    (except 1986), plus 1999; data  not available for children aged 13 in 
    1978. Data from Gill and Schlossman (20). Copyright 2003 by the American Educational Research Association. Reprinted 
with permission from publisher. (A text description of this chart is also 
  available.) Homework loads for elementary-level students deserve further analysis, 
  however. The NAEP data collection for children aged nine (third or fourth 
  grade) started only in 1984. Figure 8 shows two indicators: rates of homework 
  assignment and the proportion of students doing more than one hour of homework 
  the night before the survey. Clearly, the number of students with homework 
  assigned the prior day has increased, consistent with an increase in average 
  study time, but the one-hour-or-more trend line — flat or even declining — 
  indicates that the daily time increase cannot have been very large. Regular 
  daily assignments may also distribute work more evenly throughout the week and 
  therefore decrease the probability of working one hour or more on any given 
  day. 
 Figure 8.
Homework trends for children aged nine years. Data available every other 
year 1984–1996 (except 1986), plus 1999. Data from Gill and Schlossman (20).
  Copyright 2003 by the American Educational Research Association. Reprinted 
with permission from publisher. (A text description of this chart is also 
  available.) Combining several different data sets, we can track the proportion of high 
  school students doing substantial homework over the half-century from 1948 
  though 1999. High school students during the late 1940s and early 1950s 
  studied no more or less than their counterparts did in the 1970s, 1980s, and 
  1990s; only during the 1960s did homework time temporarily increase (20). Back to top SummaryIn contrast to adults, who now have more free time than in the past, 
  children have less free time than previously because of increased time away 
  from home, primarily in school, day care, and after-school programs (5,8,9). 
  Participation in organized activities (including sports) also increased. Time 
  spent in many sedentary activities — television viewing, conversations, or 
  other passive leisure — declined just when obesity became a major concern. 
  Unstructured playtime also declined except for in older children, but it is not 
  clear whether this playtime was sedentary or active. The role of new media is 
  not fully clear, although it is unlikely to have played a substantial role 
  prior to 1999, except for children eight to 12 who spent a significant amount 
  of time playing video games (considered unstructured playtime in the time-use 
  data). But this age group also watched much less television at the turn of the 
  century than in the 1980s. Increased homework burdens and time studying at home have not caused a 
  decrease in free time, contradicting a common belief in education circles. The 
  great majority of American children at all grade levels now spend less than 
  one hour studying on a typical day — an amount that has not changed 
  substantially for at least 20 years. Compared to the large changes in other 
  uses of time, it appears unlikely that changes in homework have altered the 
  activity levels of children. As time in structured settings away from home increases, so does the 
  importance of physical activity in those settings. A substantial percentage of 
  youth (about one third of high school students) is insufficiently active. An 
  increase in structured time offers opportunities for interventions that may be 
  more successful at expanding the number of youth who meet minimum-guideline 
  criteria for strenuous physical activity than interventions targeted at 
  diverse and unstructured home environments. In Part 2 of this report, 
  we will look at trends in transportation, physical education, and diet. Back to top AcknowledgmentsThis report was prepared for the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation. Tania 
  Andreyeva and Hilary Rhodes provided research assistance. Back to top Author InformationCorresponding author: Roland Sturm, PhD, RAND, 1700 Main 
  St, Santa Monica, CA  90401. Telephone: 310-393-0411 ext 6164. E-mail: Roland_Sturm@rand.org. Back to top References
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