EBQ:Wells PE Rule Out

Under Review Journal Club Article

Wells PS et al. "Excluding Pulmonary Embolism at the Bedside without Diagnostic Imaging: Management of Patients with Suspected Pulmonary Embolism Presenting to the Emergency Department by Using a Simple Clinical Model and D-Dimer". Annals of Internal Medicine. 2001. 135(2):98-107.
PubMed Full text PDF

Clinical Question

Is there a simple clinical model along with d-dimer assay testing that can be used to manage patients presenting to the emergency department with suspected pulmonary embolism?

Conclusion

Patients can be safely managed for suspected pulmonary embolism on the basis of pretest probability and d-dimer

Major Points

Wells Criteria

Clinical Features	Points
Symptoms of DVT (leg swelling and pain with palpation)	3.0
PE as likely as or more likely than an alternative diagnosis	3.0
HR >100 bpm	1.5
Immobilization for >3 consecutive days or surgery in the previous 4 weeks	1.5
Previous DVTor PE	1.5
Hemoptysis	1.0
Malignancy (receiving treatment, treatment stopped within 6 mon, palliative care)	1.0

Wells Score

Pre-test Probability	Total Points
Low	< 2.0
Moderate	2.0-6.0
High	> 6.0

PE exclusion:

• Low pre-test probability and negative d-dimer
• Definitive negative imaging needed for moderate and high pretest probability

NPV=99.5% of diagnostic algorithm

Study Design

• Prospective cohort study in 4 Canadian tertiary care hospitals
• Patients were evaluated by 1 of 43 designated EM physicians
• Physician assigned points according to the Well's criteria points table above
• Primary outcome was development of venous thromboembolic event in patients with excluded PE diagnosis during 3 months of follow-up
  • Diagnosis of PE made with high-probability V-P scan, abnormal result on ultrasound or pulmonary angiography, or VTE during follow-up

Population

Patient Demographics

• Mean age: 50.5 years old
• Women: 63%
• Mean duration of symptoms: 3.2 days
• Diagnosis of cancer: 7.2%
• Recent surgery: 8.4%
• Recent immobilization: 7.6%

Inclusion Criteria

• Presenting to participating ED
• Suspicion of PE
• Symptoms for <30 days
• Acute onset of new or worsening shortness of breath or chest pain

Exclusion Criteria

• Suspected DVTof the upper extremity as a likely source of PE
• No symptoms of PE within 3 days of presentation
• Anticoagulant therapy for more than 24 hours
• Expected survival time <3 months
• Contraindication to contrast media
• Pregnancy
• Geographic inaccessibility precluding follow-up
• <18 years old

Interventions

Physicians used a clinical model to determine patients’ pretest probability of pulmonary embolism, then performed a D-dimer test

• Low pretest probability and a negative D-dimer: No further tests, PE excluded
• All other patients underwent ventilation–perfusion lung scanning
  • If nondiagnostic V-P scan, perform bilateral deep venous ultrasonography
  • Further testing (serial ultrasonography or angiography) was done based on patients' pretest probability and lung scanning results

Outcomes

n=930 patients with suspected pulmonary embolism

Primary Outcome

Pretest Probability	Patients	Diagnosis of PE
Low	527	7 (1.3%)
Moderate	339	55 (16.2%)
High	64	24 (40.6%)

• 849 patients had the diagnosis of PE excluded
  • Of these, 5 patients (0.6%) developed PE or DVTduring follow-up. However, 4 of these had not undergone the proper diagnostic protocol.
• 437 patients had the diagnosis excluded with a negative D-dimer result and low clinical probability
  • Of these, only 1 developed PE during follow-up

Negative predictive value for combined strategy with D-dimer testing: 99.5% (CI, 99.1% to 100%)

Criticisms & Further Discussion

• Cristopher Study in 2006: algorithm combining clinical probability, D-dimer testing, and computed tomography showed 1.3% incidence of VTE at 3-month follow-up, and 0.5% fatal PE
  • This impact analysis demonstrated that using the Wells criteria in an algorithm with D-dimer and CT can be safely applied as a level 1 decision rule.
• Clinical gestalt is heavily weighted in this decision rule
  • Having PE as most likely diagnosis automatically classifies the patient as moderate pretest probability
• D-dimer used had higher specificity and lower sensitivity than industry standard
• This study used V-P lung scan, which was been replaced by CTA as imaging of choice
  • CTA has increased sensitivity (83%) and specificity (96%), compared to 65% and 94%, respectively, for V-P scan

Relation to PERC rule

• Wells criteria often used in concert with the PERC rule to increase sensitivity
  • Many argue that the rules shouldn't be applied in parallel because they are not clinically different (they look at many of the same things)
• Can Wells be considered a rule out criteria?
  • This decision rule study was not designed or validated to be used that way, and further studies must be completed in order for the data to support that application
  • The low pretest probability group in this study had 1.3% diagnosis of PE, suggesting to some that post hoc analysis supports the use of Wells to rule out diagnosis of PE
• PERC was created to help rule out diagnosis of PE, with a test threshold of 1.8%
  • Using this threshold, some suggest that because the prevalence of PE in the low probability group of the Wells study was well below the test threshold proposed by Kline et all, that PE may be safely excluded in low probability patients without further testing. However, this has not been validated. (see Pulmonary Embolism Video for further discussion)

Funding

Grant from the Heart and Stroke Foundation of Nova Scotia and Ontario

See Also

• EBQ:ADJUST-PE Trial

External Links

• MDCalc: Wells' Criteria
• Pulmonary Embolism Video

References

Authors

Catie Reynolds, Daniel Ostermayer, Colin Hoff, Ross Donaldson, Neil Young